GOLD PRICE FORECAST: XAUUSD STILLS DOWN $20 FROM DAILY HIGH POST-US JOBS DATA

  • Gold price extends its gains to three straight weeks, up 0.54%.
  • Stellar US jobs data exerts further pressure on the Fed, as next week CPI is eyed.
  • US-China tussles add further uncertainty to the global economic outlook.

Gold price remained on the defensive late during the New York session after an early US employment report showed that the Federal Reserve is “right” about pushing back on recession chatter. However, next week’s data, led by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), might signal that probably, Fed tightening is working. Meanwhile, XAUUSD is trading at $1773.33, down by almost 1%.

Before Wall Street opened, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed that the July Nonfarm Payrolls report added 528,000 people to the labor market, crushing estimates of 250,000. Even June’s data was upward revised, from 325,000 to 398,000, while the Unemployment rate continued its downward path from 3.6% to 3.5%.

Regarding wages, namely Average Hourly Earnings, an essential component of the employment report and closely watched by the Fed, rose 0.5% MoM, topping 5.1% annually.

The financial market’s reaction saw the greenback jumping, as the US Dollar Index reached a daily high of around 106.930, while the US 10-year bond yield peaked at 2.869%. Additionally, money market futures expect a 75 bps rate hike for the September meeting, while the yellow metal slashed $35, hitting a daily low at $1764 a troy ounce.

Michael Cooper

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